Current ADP Draft

ADP DraftBy Pasha Hashemzadeh

Draft board courtesy of Fantasy Football Calculator

This draft is from Fantasy Football Calculator and these are the results of a 10 team PPR league based on FFC’s current ADP. Here we analyze significant players and what our opinions of their current ADP are.

Rounds 1-3:

Round 1 was WR heavy, with 6 of the 10 picks being WRs, with the other 4 being RBs. This is a clear indication of the lack of elite RBs among this year’s crop, and is a clear sign that you should grab one of the top 4 (Bell, Gurley, Johnson, Peterson) if you can. We actually rank Ezekiel Elliott higher than AP, and he is a major outlier in the first three rounds as he was selected at the end of the 2nd round, while we have him pegged as a surefire 1st rounder and the RB4 in fantasy. His ADP will surely rise with the recent injury of Darren McFadden and the progression of the offseason with training camp and preseason waiting ahead. Zeke will be able to put his talents on display in pads and will get people recognizing soon enough. Thomas Rawls was selected with the final pick of the third round, a very iffy choice given that he is battling a serious ankle injury and his recovery time doesn’t guarantee that he’ll be ready for the start of the regular season, despite the hyperbole Pete Carroll is putting out there. Jarvis Landry may seem a bit high here, though he should excel in Adam Gase’ offense and be a PPR monster while manning the slot in Miami. We don’t love the pick, and would prefer to take his counterpart DeVante Parker a few rounds later, as he presents better value given his upside in what should be a vertical offense with Gase’ system and all the weapons in the passing game.

Rounds 4-6:

Washington TE Jordan Reed was a monster down the stretch last year, putting up elite numbers not just for a tight end, but for any pass-catcher. Injuries have derailed his career and he is currently on the shelf with a minor injury, though he takes the momentum of his breakout year into this season in what projects to be a good offense that will heavily utilize the pass given their weapons in the passing game and lack of them in the running game. While Gronk is in a tier of his own, Reed leads the second tier and this was a good value pick here given the oft-injured TE can remain healthy during the year. Despite being the 1st quarterback off the board, Cam Newton was selected in the middle of the 4th round, a major value for the league’s reigning MVP. He gets his WR1 back in Kelvin Benjamin this year and looks to improve on an unbelievable year. The sky is the limit for Cam. Him and Aaron Rodgers are neck and neck in our rankings, so despite preferring Rodgers, we still look at this as a good pick. Sammy Watkins is currently dealing with a broken foot, though is fully expected to be ready for camp. He put on an elite receiving display during the second half of last season and could be a WR1 in his second year with QB Tyrod Taylor. They seem to have built a nice connection and Sammy has All-Pro skills to succeed. This pick was a steal. Just as Watkins was a great pick, so was Dion Lewis, 2 picks later in the 4th round. Lewis was recently seen running and cutting in minicamp, a great sign for the RB recovering from an ACL tear. He should be all systems go come season time and is one of the better RBs to roster in PPR leagues. He has RB1 upside, easily. Jeremy Langford has bust written all over him, as indicated by his low YPC in his rookie year and the fact that HC John Fox recently announced the Bears will take a committee approach at RB. Rodgers went five picks after Cam, making this even more of a value pick than Cam. TE Tyler Eifert in the middle of the 6th is a bit of a reach given he is currently dealing with an ankle injury and is very iffy for the first couple weeks of the regular season. He is a high risk/high reward pick.

Rounds 7-9:

With arguably the best weapon in the league at his disposal in Antonio Brown, Big Ben is a steal where he was drafted – with the 4th pick in the 7th round. He will be in an up-tempo offense that will utilize the pass heavily, including screens to elite pass-catching RB Le’Veon Bell. TE Ladarius Green was brought into town to provide Ben with a major weapon in the redzone. In contrast, while we know Tom Brady will produce elite numbers when on the field, going two picks after Ben in the 7th is a reach given he’s likely to miss the 1st 4 games of the regular season, or a little over a third of the fantasy regular season. Brady in the 9th or later seems appropriate. Donte Moncrief in the 9th round is pure gold. He is much bigger than T.Y. Hilton, who will be starting opposite him, and could prove to be a deep threat for all-world QB Andrew Luck. Coby Fleener and Andre Johnson are out of town, making Hilton and Moncrief the focal points of the passing game. Moncrief is a player to monitor this offseason, as should he be able to build an early strong rapport with Luck, he could very well be putting up WR2 numbers this year.

Rounds 10-13:

Derek Carr is an up-and-coming QB and had a nice sophomore campaign in 2015. With another year of working with stud WR Amari Cooper, the intriguing Raiders offense should click a little better this year and Carr has a chance to put up mid to low end QB1 numbers. He has veteran WR Michael Crabtree and emerging TE Clive Walford at his disposal as well. Laquon Treadwell was the first rookie WR off the board. The Minnesota man is silky smooth with the ball in his hands and has a high catch radius along with elite hands. His one knock is his slow 40 time, though his college tape proves that he can accelerate well when needed. He reminds of a poor man’s A.J. Green, which by no means is a bad thing, especially given the spot he was selected. This is a value pick here, with low risk and high reward. TE Ladarius Green has yet to shine in the NFL as he has been in the shadow of future HOFer Antonio Gates. He now has the opportunity to establish himself as a strong redzone option in Pittsburgh’s prolific passing offense. Should he be able to do so, he will be a worthy TE1 and this spot is perfect for him. He is one of the reasons you can wait for a tight end. WR Corey Coleman was selected in the 13th round, arguably one of the bigger steals of the draft. He is lightning quick, and is really the only option in Cleveland’s passing game outside of Gary Barnidge (injured) and Josh Gordon (suspended). Reports out of minicamp are nothing but positive and Coleman should see a heavy dose of targets right off the bat, making him a worthy WR3 in PPR leagues.

Picture courtesy of fansided.com